Tuesday, January 03, 2012

IOWA: What is your analysis and/or opinion of the Iowa caucus results?

33 comments:

Nklinka said...

Ron Paul and Mitt Romney are now fighting for the nomination. Santorum cannot survive the campaign trail. Hopefully Ron Paul wins as he is the only one who can combat Obama.

ANichols said...

Well, from the results, I would have to say that the voting was closer than most imagined. Merely an eight-vote win for Romney. In my opinion, I had a good idea that Mitt would win this caucus. I thought this because in the last caucus in Iowa, in 2008 I believe, he won. Additionally, I beleive that Rick Santorum had a great shot to win this state, but lost due to poor campaigning. Although he won many of the small countys in the state, Romney was able to overtake the large cities such as Des Moines. Lastly, from this first caucus in 2012 I learned alot about the Republican candidates and look forward to seeing some results in the upcoming primarys and caucuses. Also, I believe that there will be a few dropouts by the end of the next primary.

skerns said...

The Iowa caucusses really surprised me. They brought out different sides to some candidates. Neut Gingrich for example calling Mitt Romney a "liar". I would have to say that Neut has just reasons that would qualify him in saying this. Mitt Romney was attacking Neut very viciously while he was campaigning in Iowa with his negative ads. I feel we will see more negative ads in this election then we have ever seen. With the updates in technology and resources these candidates have along with how much they are being watched, they could make negative "movies" if they wanted. Another surprise from this Iowa caucus was the rise in Ron Paul and Rick Santorum. Ron Paul took second but many of his voters are saying that he will run as an independent which could in the long run hurt the GOP. Rick Santorum gained huge public support and took third beating Gingrich, Perry, and Bachmann. A huge surprise in Iowa but I feel he has no chance heading into New Hampshire. Michelle Bachmann has dropped out after coming in last place in Iowa really no surprise to anyone. But this GOP election will be a heated one and I'm looking forward to the debates Saturday and Sunday!

Sfrasher said...

I am not surprised that Romney won the Iowa caucus; however, I am surprised that the caucus was decided by a mere 8 votes. Santorum has come out of the blue to become a close front runner, but that does not surprise me. If you look at this Republican race to the nomination there have been so many front runners. Personally, Santorum is going to extremely well in New Hampshire but is going to struggle in South Carolina. I believe that Ron Paul will struggle because his views are so extreme, I mean withdrawing all troops from foreign countries? That’s just dumb. I believe that John Huntsman, former ambassador to China, is the most viable candidate for office. He has the most foreign policy experience and his views are somewhat moderate. I believe that in this day and age we need someone who has “connections” overseas, because the United States relies tremendously on those countries especially China. I was surprised that he received only 1% of the vote in Iowa, but I believe this is due to the large media attention on Romney, Paul, Gingrich, and Perry. However, Huntsman never stepped foot in Iowa to campaign but has focused on New Hampshire. This strategy could work because he has been there for over 3 months, and many people in New Hampshire are acquainted with him. However, I still believe that Romney will win it’s just that Huntsman offers the most to the country. I believe that Gingrich will do poorly in New Hampshire but will regain strength after South Carolina due to his Southern roots. Santorum is inexperienced on the campaign trail, whereas Gingrich and Romney have been down this path many times before. This is why they will be the #1 and #2 choices for the Republican Party after South Carolina. Overall, this is what I thought of Iowa.

nspoerk said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
nspoerk said...

RON PAUL!

npaape said...

Romney won the Iowa Caucus however Santorum came in close second by 8 votes. Anything can happen. Santorum was previously in the bottom and acheived 2nd place at the Iowa Caucus. In my opinion Santorum has a more republican view on issues then Romney. I also think Ron Paul has a strong chance of still winning as they enter the Southern States which he has influence in Kentucky where his son Rand Paul is Senator. Things will also be close when we enter Texas as polls will drastically change raising the vote for Perry as well as Ron Paul. At this point it is still too early to tell.

jryan said...

The results of the caucus goes to show how quickly the people's opinion can change. It now seems that Rick Santorum has emerged as the top competitor with Mitt Romney for the nomination with Ron Paul slightly behind. I am also surprised that Rick Perry has decided to stay in the race, and that Newt Gingrich somehow lost his momentum just like that which may cause him to drop out early in the future of his campaign.

jblommel said...

I think that the results of the Iowa caucus are very positive for Rick Santorum. While Romney placed right were the polls said he would and have shown for the past several year, Santorum is showing some charging momentum to continue to gain votes and popularity with the voters. While Romney has not changed in his standing, Santorum is still looking better and better.

J.Mason said...

I believe that since the Iowa caucus is the "start" of the 2012 campaigning, it gives an outlook of who may be the winner of the Republican party to go up against the President. So we may see that Mitt Romney may go agaisnt President Obama. I am not much of a person to pick and vote for one person, mostly because I believe that anyone will say anything, even if they do not mean it, or will do what some people promise to try and win the public over to there side. There are much more campaigning and political battles ahead of us, and one country that truly needs to be saved.

J.Mason said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
jboyle said...

The results of the Iowa caucus was extremely close, with Romney winning and Santorum coming within eight votes of Romney. The results show how easily things can change because when the straw poll had been taken Bachmann had won, but when the vote that really mattered came she didn't do so well, which lead to her dropping out of the race. I believe that this is going to be a very interesting race to watch.

Jwolf said...

I wasn't too surprised by the Iowa caucus. The closeness of the race was surprising between Romney and Santorum. However, I read that the amount of young people there was very minimal. So it is unusual that many people voted for Santorum if he was supposed to target young people. I think both Romney and Santorum will be good candidates to go against Obama.

Paige said...

It may seem surprising that Perry continues to hold on despite his outcome of 10%, but he has a strong determination to win. Perhaps Michelle Bachman's prior supporters will go to him.

Paige said...

It may seem surprising that Perry continues to hold on despite his outcome of 10%, but he has a strong determination to win. Perhaps Michelle Bachman's prior supporters will go to him.

Kelly M said...

I think battle between the republican candidates is always is always surprising because the support keeps shifting from one person to another. However, i dont not think that the results for the caucus were very surprising, i figured there would be a similar amount of votes for Romney and Santorum.

neve57 said...

My analysis of the Iowa caucus is that Mitt Romney, Ron Paul, and Rick Santorum are the three front runners. I believe that either Rick Santorum or Mitt Romney will win because Ron Paul is too old. Between the two candidates, I think that Santorum will come out on top because he has less “strings attached,” meaning that he does not have any allegations floating over his head.

Chris DeWinter said...

I was surprised at how close the Iowa caucus came. With only 8 votes between Romeny and Santorum I think there will be a close race. This shows more than anything that your vote counts. I think that Ron Paul will eventually drop out of the race because his views are just to extreme for the republican base. In the end i think the race will be between Romeny and Santorum.

KKotecki said...

The results of the Iowa caucus were very surprising. Rick Santorum rose significantly and Newt Gingrich dropped more than expected. Santorum was a surprise because he had not been getting very high polling numbers previously. Santorum picked up votes from Gingrich because Gingrich had negative ads run against him by his opponents. This hurt him and many of his supporters turned to Santorum. Romney had not spent a lot of time in Iowa so he was not expected to come in so high, however he came in first place by a mere 8 votes. Ron Paul did so well because he spent a lot of time in Iowa and had a strong grass roots organization because of it. However, when the real elections come, I do not think that Paul will come in so high. Michele Bachmann was a surprise that she came in so low, leading to her suspending her campaign. These results were shocking and definitely not expected.

JakobL said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
JakobL said...

The Iowa caucus was suprisingly. Santorum almost beat Romney what I didn't thought he would. Paul, Romney and Santorum are really close together what makes the upcoming primaries/ caucuses even more exciting. But Santorum has to get a lot more seriousness to continue in the race against Romney, Paul and who knows who else can stay in the race. The close results reflects the disaccord in the GOP and therefore their poor chances to beat Obama.

aspone said...

I think that after Iowa, Santorum gained some much needed momentum he had been lacking so far. The public seems to have taken an interest in him as a serious candidate and to be peaking at the right time in the race. I am not surprised that Romney and Santorum finished so close; however, it will be interesting to see how they compete in New Hampshire. Even after Iowa, i believe the nomination is still up for grabs. The front runner has changed so many times that it can certainly change again. Hopefully with the upcoming debates and primaries this race will become more clear.

sli said...

Iowa caucus is our first glimpse at who the prefered presidential nominees might be. It's not suprising that Mitt Romney is winning so far. Still, hold my best hope for Ron Paul to win the nomination of Republican.

TPassow said...

my opinion of the Iowa caucus results are that Romney is the winner and Santorum came in a close second. Meaning he has a chance to play with the big boys and possible win the next big state.

awichgers said...

I believe that this caucus somewhat reflects what the overall election will be like, but it is not completely reflective of it. Some of the candidates that got fewer votes simply because they didn't campaign in Iowa. This is only one caucus, so it's still anyone's game. Although, I believe that Romney and Santorum will still be in the lead for the final election.

Anonymous said...

I am not surprised by the results in Iowa. However I believe that in the next few primaries/caucuses one of the candidates needs to emerge as a clear cut leader. Mitt Romneys percentage in Iowa did not change since 2008 so he has not made much progress in the last four years. That just proves that the field of candidates is much weaker than it was in 2008(which the Republicans lost anyway). Someone needs to step up.

tFugarino said...

From the outcome of the iowa caucuss many would say mitt romney has a very good lead. But there is alot more to look at, santorum is the newest republican to enter and i think he has a real shot at winning. He just didn't have enough time to campaign before the iowa caucuss. I think it will be very close as it comes down to the wire.

Anonymous said...

I think that Santorum got votes in Iowa because of his intense campaigning, but I do not think he has the time or drive to do that for every other caucus / primary, therefore, will not be winning much else. I think that Ron Paul has a strong age group base that will keep him at a percentage similar to what he got in Iowa throughout the whole campaign trail. Romney obviously is and will be the front-runner. Either Ron Paul or Mitt Romney will come out on top in the end and I believe either one would be a good candidate to run against Obama.

THaase said...

The close vote of Santorum and Romney shows how much the Republican parties votes are divided. Although it seems like a fairly straight forward thing to say that Romney has the nomination, the party must unite in order to over take America's number one problem Obama.

Andrew Salo said...

I found the Iowa cascus to be very interesting. Romney winning didn't come as a surprise, and even santorum taking second wasn't too surprising because his numbes in the polls had been jumping. What I found to be amazing was how close Romney and Santorum finished. Just 8 votes out of all the people who participted is incredible.

Bmurph said...

I kind of figured that Mitt Romney would win, but i didnt think it would be so close, with Santorum down by only eight. however, this suprised me because Santorum was close to last earlier in the run. I think Ron Paul will also have a good run in this race. Is Rick Perry going to drop out yet?

Big Al said...

I think Iowa results are going to show the front runners in months to come. I feel that romney is in line to win the election. I am sure in years to come that santorum will be the gop candidate. I feel that Iowa has shown who will be eliminated from the competition, which would be perry. Santorum made a surge, but the surge will die out soon enough.

APrichard said...

I believe that the front runners established within the Iowa caucus's held are going to waiver through the continuing republican primaries across the United States. However they will continue to hold their overall lead then confirming my belief that the final candidates for the republican presidential nominee will come between Rick Santorum and Mitt Romney.