Thursday, May 04, 2006

Analysis: Who do you think will be the presidential nominee for each major poltical party? Who do you think will win in 2008?

I'm going to take an inverse look at that question and say that I don't think it's going to be Sen. Kerry for the Democrats. Although he has raised something like $10 million, I don't think that the Democrats will take the chance with him again. Who was the last multi-campaign candidate? Teddy Roosevelt, William Jennings Bryan?

8 comments:

Jerry Christiansen said...

beautiful site, and beautiful ideas for civics classes! I could see your kids taking off with this. Personally being a fellow social studies teacher, I would think that John McCain will be the Republican candidate and maybe Jonathan Edwards as the Democrat. I think both sides want to get out of their 2004 ways and move away from Kerry and anyone associated with Bush.

Dain said...

I think there is still too much time to be sure who will get the nominations. Right now, though, these are my thoughts.

For the Republicans, I belive that John McCain will get the nomination. He is excellently positioned; he is far away from Bush, has name reconignition, and has a positive reputation among voters. His term as a senator does not end until 2010, so everything he fundraises from now till the campain cycle can be used for a presidential campain, or at least the primary.

For the Democrats, it looks to me like Feingold will get the nomination. The other Dems that come to my mind are Edwards, Gore, and Clinton. I think Edwards is too closely linked to Kerry, and I think Clinton, in all honesty, is to polarizing a canidate to get the nomination. Gore is well-positioned for another presidential run, but he would first have to return to politics.

Mr. Bretzmann said...

People adapt to their environments, even during a drought. :) Everyone has adapted well to the limited number of questions. There have been some who have commented on other people's comments (like a discussion- very cool) Some have posted on several different questions, and it's great to see that you've even come up with your own question. Well done bloggers! Nevertheless, look for more frequent questions in August. I'm going to put my two cents worth in for this question. Although Dain suggested that Sen. McCain will be the nominee for the Republicans, I have heard some grumblings that he may not be conservative enough. Then again, what are the other options? Rudy Giuliani isn't that much more conservative and Condoleeza Rice says she's not interested in running (although she may not be very conservative either). I think the whole thing turns on whether the Republicans as a whole decide they want to win or they want to protect their ideological base. It's similar to the debate the Democrats had in 1992. Nominate a centrist or a liberal? They nominated the centrist and he served for eight years.

tonileep said...

There has been a lot of discussion on who has the experience to be the presidental nominees for each major poltical party. I believe that the presidential nominees for the democrats will be Hillary Clinton or Feingold. There has been discussion about Hillary being a nominee and her gender and I believe she will be the candidate. For the Repbulicans, I believe John McCain or Rudy Giuliani will be nominees.

tonileep said...

There has been a lot of discussion on who has the experience to be the presidental nominees for each major poltical party. I believe that the presidential nominees for the democrats will be Hillary Clinton or Feingold. There has been discussion about Hillary being a nominee and her gender and I believe she will be the candidate. For the Repbulicans, I believe John McCain or Rudy Giuliani will be nominees.

RPawlow said...

GREETINGS, FELLOW EARTHLINGS. My name is Robert Pawlow, and I am from the future. I predict Barack Obama will win the election in the great year two thousand and eight because, like I already said, I am from the future and witnessed it happen. How about them apples?

RPawlow said...

A side note: It is interesting to see this blog and all the responses. Not seeing Barack Obama's name mentioned once should indicate our upcoming 2012 election and its nominees might not be as predictable as we might like to think. Barack Obama running as an incumbent is obvious, but a dark horse candidate is not out of question.

dboyce said...

I'm pawlow's fellow companion from the future. It seems that a lot of you guys from the past got the republican candidate right, but you all failed miserably by not mentioning a barack obama for the democrat. in a few years America will have elected its first african-American president.