Wondering about a government shutdown? First thing to know: It all won’t disappear.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/wondering-about-a-government-shutdown-first-thing-to-know-it-all-wont-disappear/2013/09/20/15e566b4-221a-11e3-a358-1144dee636dd_story.html
58 comments:
I do not believe that a government shutdown will happen like in 1995-1996. Congress has, realistically, about 6 days to resolve matters and agree to the twelve appropriations bills. They most likely won't pass all of them, and will most likely go into the "emergency" sessions such as what happened previously earlier this year with the debt ceiling, and sequestrian. But eventually both parties will compromise without a shutdown or as lengthy of a shutdown as 1995. The political impact of it will be the loss of US hegemony and influence worldwide, because the US has made some bad political moves, such as Syria, that has damaged our reputation worldwide. However, the damage to our international image could be averted simply if one or both parties just issued a statement or press conference saying that the bills haven't been passed yet because said party wants to get the appropriations as perfect and balanced as possible to make America as strong as it possibly can be, and then explained why the conflicts on some appropriations. If this happened then the opposite public reaction would happen than what would happen in a government shutdown; people would be content with the "fighting" in Congress as the media portrays.
This is why no appropriation bills have been passed: because Congress and President Obama want to make the United States as strong as possible. But since no one has come out and said it publicly yet, the public will view Congress and President Obama negatively.
I do not believe that the government will have a shutdown like in 1995-1996. First off, both parties do not want a government shutdown so they will most likely compromise before the September 30th deadline. Avoiding a government shutdown would add new pressure to the political attacks and technical issues that have weighed on Obamacare. If the government were to hypothetically shut down, the political impact would be detrimental for The President as well as his administration. Congress would also be blamed because of their failure to compromise.
I don't think that the government will shut down. And even if it did, it wouldn't be like no one would be running the country- things may be slightly messy and disorganized, but we wouldn't have anarchy and chaos.
Besides, does the government really ever "shut down"? Yes, some functions may be slower, and some actions put off for a few weeks, but there has to be someone around. And besides, as they stated in the article, the government still has national security up and running.
Even though there's always alto going on in the world, there's so much right now that the government would only be inconveniencing themselves if they shut down. Also, there would be a fair amount of name-calling and blaming the other side between the political parties as to whose "fault" it is that the government shut down. That would cause lots of political messiness, and possible sour the public image of the government in the eyes of the people- something that the government really can't afford.
I believe their will not be another government shutdown but their is definitely a chance of it happening. Effects would be no more re updating passports after the September 30th date. Also it would shut down parks, monuments, and other sites controlled by the government.The National Institutes of Health won't be able to take in new patients and a lot more. This would for sure effect our country but I think the government will work this out before September 30th.
While the government never truly "stops", the possibility of a shut down is high. It has happened before and they have yet to sign any appropriations bills. It may not last long, but I think there is a good chance. Congress was not designed too move fast, it was designed to move slowly so everything will be examined. They will not sign bills just quickly when their may be consequences not foreseen.
I don't believe that the government will have a shutdown like in 1995-1996. A government shutdown would would do more harm than good to both the president and his administration. The failure to find a compromise would also be detrimental towards Congress.
I do not think that there will be a governmental shutdown like there was in 1995-96. Obviously, no one in government will want that to happen which increases the change of a compromise occurring. Also, it would not benefit our country at all so that gives both sides more motivation to get it done before the September 30th deadline. If it were to happen, it would bring negative press to the federal government which is another reason why I think that it will not happen.
I believe there would not be a government shut down because they will most likely propose a short term budget, leaving the major problems for next time. Both sides do not (most likely) want a government shut down because it does not look good for them. They will try and pass a plan both for their party's agenda and for keeping up faith in the government. A shut down would cause a media frenzy, which looks awful for all sides of political parties. Also, I believe there won't be a veto by the president like in the 1995-96 shut down where Bill Clinton rejected a Republican budget because it won't help the economy and would look really bad for everyone involved in the process.
I believe that there will not be another government shutdown like in 1995-1996. Although there is chance that a shutdown could occur, Congress has been good on making compromises at the very last moment, but this time it seems like Congress is putting it off until the last moment. The Senate and the House went on summer break with the intention of returning a few weeks before the deadline, they returned on September 9 while the deadline is September 30. Instead of focusing on passing this bill to give the government more money, Congress has been focused on Obamacare. The chance of a government shutdown is high, but hopefully avoidable. If the shutdown would occur, many programs that the government funds would be cut or reduced. For example, non-essential employees would be furloughed. Also, small business loans and mortgage insurance applications tied to government funding or agencies would not be processed. Along with these things, the citizens of the United States would have increased debt due to funds being moved to try and fix this problem.
I, personally, do not believe that a government shutdown will occur like in 1995-1996. No one in either party wants there to be a shutdown, and because of this, they will do whatever they can to ensure that there is not a shutdown. Both parties will most likely compromise before September 30th.
A shutdown would cause many problems for both political parties, which would make everyone look bad. For example: museums, monuments, and parks would all shutdown; medical research would be interrupted; passport services would be suspended; and U.S. citizens would have more debts to pay.
I do believe there will be another governmental shutdown because Republicans and Democrats have not been able to agree on things lately, and from what i can see i do not see the Republicans changing the mind on trying to defund Obamacare. I believe that Republicans will continue to try to get rid of Obamacare instead of trying to improve it. If this shutdown does end up happening a lot of government agencies will shutdown and military families will be painfully effected because they will those there paychecks. Also i believe that the republicans will be effected the most because they will be targeted for the cause of the shutdown because they have continued to focus most of their attention on defunding Obamacare causing congress draw there eyes away from more important matters.
Well, considering the next fiscal year will be on September 30th,It could be likely. If a compromise in Washington is not obtained, this then leads to a Government shutdown. Time is ticking and Congress has to be working extra hard right now to meet the budget. If this "Doomsday" scenario did occur, chaos would break loose. For example, all the things that matter, would matter no more. Workplace safety inspections would come to a halt. Passports would not be processed, which brings the tourism industry down. Federal employees would continue to work without pension until its resolved.
I do not beileve a government shutdown will occur in the near future, i think the chances of public rebellion are closer to realism than what happened in 95-96, the barack administrations faceplate would be detrementally damaged and the president would not like to have that on his name like it was on clintons in 95
I do not think that the government will have a shutdown like 1995-1996. In order to prevent one, Congress would need to pass a bill allowing the debt budget to be raised to $16.7 billion. I feel that us as citizens would be more affected than the government itself because everything would be so much more dysfunctional. The government is set up so that it promotes compromise, so each party doesn't have more control over the other, so a shutdown is less likely.
I don't think the government will "shut down"--I don't think it's practical and I think there are many issues that could arise if it would shut down. I also don't think that "shut down" is the correct terminology. The government cannot truly shut down; it only stops working for a short time period while budgets and bills are discussed to start it back up again. But, in this situation, if the government WERE to shut down, I think there is a risk of it taking a prolonged time to start up again. The two parties have proven their inability to work together on past laws and bills, and I doubt in any situation-including debates during a shut down- a true compromise will be reached. That being said, I still don't think there will be a government shut down, even with the lack of teamwork seen from the senate and the house. Both sides are aware of the mess they could create by shutting down the government, both politically and economically. The government would look bad, people would lose faith and trust in their decisions, and everything in general would become more unstable.
I do not believe the government will shutdown like it did in 1995-1996. Although our country is in a bad economic state with both side unwilling to compromise, the political leaders and Congress realize the importance of the citizens to keep faith in the government. If the government were to shut down, civil unrest and uncertainty would prevail, leaving our country without organization or the leadership of the Obama administration. Both parties realize that a governmental shutdown would detrimentally affect both parties, giving the motivation to compromise without the shutdown.In the end, the reputation of the federal government as a whole would be negatively impacted, making a governmental shutdown improbable.
Although there has been a government "shut down" in the past, and a very high chance if it reoccurring, I do not believe it will happen. Since it would be more detrimental to have a "shut down" than negotiate, I feel both parties will come to an agreement of some sort before September 30th.
I don't believe there will be a government shut down. I think they will pass a short term budget to buy time rather then risking shutting down the government. I think both sides realize that shutting down the government would do more damage then good. Hopefully both sides stop being so stubborn and work with each other.
I do not believe there will be another government shutdown, because i feel if the agreement is to be met, it will be last minute. If an agreement is not reached it will impact our government or country in big way. Our country will lose many government funded things such as,social security checks would be slowed due to less workers,it would effect student loan applications, many federal workers would be furloughed without pay, and monuments that are funded by the government would be shutdown. If a compromise is not reached the congress, senate, and the presidential administration will be blamed because of their failure to reach an agreement.
I believe that there is a possibility that the government will shut down, however I believe that it is more likely that a compromise will be reached or another continuing resolution will be signed and the debt ceiling raised. While Democrats generally support raising the debt ceiling, Republicans are divided. Some Republicans want to use the budget as an attempt to stop Obama care. Although many of the Republicans believe that it would be effective to hold out to stop Obama care spending, I believe that the majority will waiver because they don’t want to bring it to the point of a shutdown for which they might be blamed. Also, in this situation no appropriations have been sighed, unlike the shutdown in 1996, which continued to fund social security. A shutdown today would be more severe, with potentially worse political effects for the general public.
There is a chance that the government will shut down, but I think that they will reach an agreement before September 30, the end of the fiscal year. I feel that Congress realizes that if they shut down not only are they affected so is the rest of the country; therefore, the Democrats and Republicans are most likely going to compromise. While the focus of each group is different and the reason why they are at a disagreement, Democrats focused on the debt and Republicans on getting the Obama care to hold out. The shut down in this day and age would be more costly on the nation than the one back in 1995 and 1996 and I think it would last longer. The only way that this would happen would be if both sides decide that they don't want to give a little up for the sake of our country. Although a shut down is very possible I don't think it will happen as long as Congress comes to some sort of an agreement.
I think there will not be a government shutdown like 1995-1996. None of the sides want a government shutdown so I feel that the House, Senate, and White House will compromise. Also a government shutdown would be really bad to U.S. All federal employees would be sent home. Also national museums and monuments would close down, resulting in loss of visitors. All federal agencies would be affected. So I think the Congress and Obama do not want this to happen so they will resolve it before the 30th
I think that there will not be a government shutdown like there was in 1995-1996. The government in the past years never made the due date to make a salary cap. Recently, a cap was made that didnt include health care, which meant obama will not approve of it. It will definitely be interesting to see what we will lose with this agreement.
I also believe there will not be another government shutdown like in 1995-96, mostly because of its impracticality. The political impact would be more negative than positive, as both parties would be looked down upon in the public eye for their unwillingness to compromise. As many people today already have wavering faith in the government, this would not do well for the government's image in the public eye. Another negative impact would be that government employees would not receive pay. Because of all these factors and more I believe that the government will not shut down like in 1995-96: the parties will reach a last minute compromise.
I don't think the government will shut down because the republican leadership has a history of giving up on their hard line stands at the last minute. I think this will upset the conservative wing of the Republican even more about the more moderate leadership. This all depends on the vote on the bill in congress to fund everything but Obama's health care plan. It is possible that some democrats that fear the political impact of an Obama care bill that negatively impacts the economy will vote.
Yes I believe that there will be a government shutdown because the republicans and democrats cannot on anything right now. Earlier this year when facing a government shutdown congress raised the debt ceiling. The congress has to come to an agreement on the budget, but the government is no where near a comprimise right now. I don't think that the government shutdown will last as long as the 1995-1996 shutdown. If the government does shutdown it will affect the economy becuse everyone who works for the government technically will be out of a job. If the government doesn't shutdown I think that they will shutdown in the future because Americas debt keeps rising at an insurmountable rate.
I do not think there will be a government shutdown like there was in 1995-1996. Eventually everyone will come into an agreement because that will be the right thing for the country and its citizens. I think if there was a shutdown though, the political impact would be harsh on the republicans. They would like the over agreessive ones trying to get too much done. People would start to change their views on the republicans in my opionion. But that is why I think both sides will eventually come to a compromise because the republicans are going to do what is best for the country and not try to be over agreesive and get too much done.
I think that there is a greater chance of a government shutdown then there not being one. First things first let’s assess the current situation. The budget was passed through the House of Representatives, and is now hitting the Senate. The reason why I am not optimistic about this passing through the Senate is because it’s not just “the budget” passing. “The budget” has a big detail coming with it, that detail is the defunding of Obama Care. The reason why this passed through the House easily is because the Republican’s have majority. The reason why it won’t pass through the Senate is because the Democrat’s have majority. I do think there will be a government shutdown, because the timeline is just too short to create another bill, renegotiate, and get it signed, all in eight days is pretty unrealistic. I would like to believe that it won’t happen, but it seems like it will. The government won’t completely shut down either, it will have the core departments running, but it won’t include parks and other non-necessities. This is a big risk the Republican’s are taking because if this doesn’t work they could get the blame for a government shutdown. They might take a big hit in the next presidential election for it, or even in Congressional seats. Whether they should risk it or not was a big debate within the party, and some aren’t completely sold on the idea. Regardless they are going for it anyways. But there is a flip scenario of that, seen as the majority of American’s are against Obama Care, this could be a positive thing for the polls. The people could see it as Republicans trying again to stop Obama Care from happening. It will be interesting to see how the people will respond to this (assuming it won’t pass). If it does pass this would be an amazing win for the Republican Party and the majority of Americans, and that would surely help then in the polls.
I do not believe that there will be a government shutdown like the one in 1995-1996. Both sides will eventually come to an agreement like they have in the past. Shutting down government agencies would put the U.S. in kind of a crisis.
I do not believe that we will have a government shutdown like the previous one. I feel as if they will reach a compromise just in time. A government shut down would cause much more damage then meeting in the middle. when it comes down do it government is everything it is the cars we transport in and the roads we drive on, it would be too much to take that the system that controls all. Neither parties want the government to collapse; therefore, they will reach a compromise. We will loose too much if we do not.
I believe that the government will not have another shutdown this year. I believe a compromise will be developed out of desperation to prevent an unnecessary shutdown. Both political parties share the common understanding that a shutdown will create and reveal doubt and displeasure with the current federal government. Neither side wants to see this. The Republican Party will most likely give in to prevent a negative image of them to be created. With a little more than a week before the end of the fiscal year, I expect to see an agreement reached.
I highly doubt the government will ever shutdown in the ways it did because I am almost positive there are certain procedures designed to avoid that scenario. Although If it did, I think there could be a chance of a Anarchy. The people would feel stronger and possible try to overthrow the government. I doubt that would be possible though, because if the people of the U.S. were to try to overthrow the government and an internal war broke out, do you think the U.S. forces would go against their own people (to re-word it... if the citizens were attacking the government would the leaders tell the U.S. forces to fight back??) just something to think about
I do not believe that the government can shut down. If there is conflict within the government, they various branches may not be focusing on fulfilling their duties but there is still a government intact. There may be disagreements between the different parts such as the Senate and the House, but they always reach a consensus and carry on to tackle newer conflicts. Since the government cannot completely shut down, we will not face a detrimental political impact like 1995-1996.
I do not believe the government will shut down like it did in 1995-1996. I think that the government will either meet the requirements right before the dead line or they will come up with an extension. If the government does not come up with a compromise both political parties will be under pressure as chaos erupts throughout the nation. I feel that both parties will be playing "the blame game" with each other. That being said a large amount of political turmoil can be avoided if we can find the compromises needed to beat the deadline at the end of the fiscal year.
Even though it is not desired by anyone, I think a governmental shutdown could occur. Having gone this far with these problems, it seems as though the members of the House and Senate are too stubborn and ignorant to give in to either side. Each party wants its own ideals to be the ones that shine through and represent the country's policies. Because of this, I don't see how anything could be resolved in the eight days that are left until this deadline. I agree with Evan Warwick in that if the government were to shut down, the impact would be detrimental to the President and his administration. I think something like this could leave a bad taste on his legacy for the rest of American time. The political impact for the present state of America would be awful. People would be very confused as to what is going on and what should be done. A state of panic may ensue over the country.
As for the issue on Obamacare that the article touched on, I think it is a little ridiculous that it is such a focus right now with what is going on in the background. It seems as though the priorities of our governmental representatives need to reevaluate their jobs.
I do not believe the government will shut down because the threat of the government shutting down will increase the likelihood of reaching a compromise. If the government would shut down, the country would be in a lot of trouble and even more problems would occur. Because of these reasons, the government will see making a compromise as an important task that needs to be taken care of as soon as possible.
I believe that the government will not shutdown because the threat of not reaching a compromise will increase the likelihood of wanting to make a compromise. If the government would shut down, the country would be in a lot of trouble and Congress does not want the country to run without a government. For these reasons, Congress will make a compromise and make sure the government does not shutdown.
I don't think there will be a government shutdown because this would cause a lot more harm than good. Also, the fact that a deadline is approaching will likely speed up a deal. Either that or the parties will just come up with another extension and we will go through this whole thing again at a later date
I don't think there will be a government shutdown because this would cause a lot more harm than good. Also, the fact that a deadline is approaching will likely speed up a deal. Either that or the parties will just come up with another extension and we will go through this whole thing again at a later date
I don't think there will be a government shutdown because this would cause a lot more harm than good. Also, the fact that a deadline is approaching will likely speed up a deal. Either that or the parties will just come up with another extension and we will go through this whole thing again at a later date
I believe there could be a government shut down. There are only a few days for both opposing parties to agree on important matters. With both sides stuck on their opinions, there is a possibility in which they will not come to an agreement. This would ultimately lead to the government shutdown. The political impact of such a shut down would cause chaos in the political world. Many citizens would feel anxious about the term "government shut down." Some may panic. Politically, there would also be madness. President Obama and his administration would be looked down upon due to their inability to make peace with in their own country. Other countries would question our credibility as a well functioned government.
I do not think that there will be a government shutdown. In order for there to be a shut down, either the republicans in the House of Representatives, or the Democrats in the Senate would have to be willing to get blamed for the shutdown. I think that although right now both sides are unwilling to compromise, that they will come to some sort of agreement in order to prevent a government shutdown. Also, even though the republicans obviously don't support Obamacare, I don't think that they ever expected their bill to make it through the Democrat controlled Senate. I believe that all the Republicans were really doing was making a political statement to the American public. Polls overwhelmingly suggest that the majority of American people do not support Obamacare. In taking a clear stand AGAINST Obamacare, the Republicans gained the support of those American people who are also against it. This way, when the next voting for the Senate comes around anyone who is against Obamacare will vote against the Democrats so that Obamacare can be defunded or stalled. I don't think that there is really a risk of the government shutting down, but rather, it is just a political game.
The political impact is that republicans have drawn a clear line as to who is in support of Obamacare and who is not.
Additionally, regardless of whether or not the government gets shut down, the American people's confidence in our country will decrease significantly. These circumstances imply that the government has an inability to effectively govern the country. It draws emphasis to our unchecked deficit, failing economy, stark disagreement among the political parties, and suggests that the President is not effectively leading. Not only does this put doubt in the minds of the American people, but it makes us lose our credibility with other countries which puts our economy even more at risk. Overall, even the risk of a government shutdown has an extremely negative political impact because it demonstrates that our country is not functioning adequately.
On the one hand, there's a possibility that an agreement won't be made by September 30th. On the other, one side may give up their arguing at the last minute. Either way, even if there is a "shut down", it doesn't guarantee chaos because the country has gotten through it before. As everyone else seems to be one-sided on this, I'm actually on the fence. I believe that both turnouts are possible, yet also unlikely.
In the weeks to come, I do believe it is possible for the government to experience a temporary shutdown, as it did from 1995-1996. However, I do not believe that it is possible for the government to shut down entirely, as we need some sort of order established to continue as a nation. This is evident in the employees that provide for national security, benefit payments, performance of obligations, etc. that are required by law to continue working even if they do not receive pay. We need them to ensure that the nation doesn't delve into complete chaos. There is a strong possibility of a shutdown based off the fact that the House, Senate, and White house have yet to come to some sort of compromise in accordance to paying off federal debt, as well as the fact that money is likely to run out. I do not believe they will rush to form a compromise, as deadlines such as these have not been met in the past 17 years and agencies are already planning on governmental shutdown. The government is not going to make any rash decisions, they have to handle this looming issue with serious consideration. However, this may mean that the government could have to raise its borrowing cap in order to pay off debt. This would result in millions of people working without pay, as well as veteran citizens not receiving financial aid from the government. This temporary shutdown could lead to longer-term national security risks, for the nation could be seen as vulnerable in this time of need. Political impact could also include freezes in hiring for federal law enforcement agencies. Ultimately, the impact would be severely negative.
I think that a government shut down will be avoided. Neither party is in favor of a shutdown and thus I think a compromise will be reached by the 30th. However, if a government shut down were to occur I think that it would would reflect poorly on the Obama administration and transitively, the Democrats as a whole. If a shut down were to occur, I predict that the Republican candidate for the presedential election of 2016 will use the shut down and Syria CONSTANTLY against the Democrats in debates.
The odds of a government shut down are slim, of course, but the chance is still there. Most likely an agreement will be made before drastic action is taken. Neither side wants the government to shut down and they have the power to prevent it. I the government were to shut down it would negatively impact the view of both parties in the eyes of the voters. Unless either party is holding an ace up the sleeve and would somehow come out of a shutdown looking better a shutdown will be avoided at all costs. Public opinion is everything.
I believe that there will not be another government shutdown. Both parties within Congress will try to avoid a shutdown as it hurts their reputation, and therefore should compromise to come to a solution.
I do not think the government will shut down like it did in the 1990's. The Republicans were blamed for the last government shutdown, and many of their senior party members do not want a repeat of that incident. They will likely approve another short term bill. If the government does shut down,
Wall Street will likely crash while the government is shut down. Economic growth will likely slow as companies are uncertain over future government actions and expenditures.
I do not think that the government will shutdown again. Currently both major parties are warning that the actions of the other party will cause a shutdown. I hope the as president Obama will act as a mediator and try to get both sides to reach an agreement and prevent a shutdown.
I don't think another shut down will happen because neither party wants one to happen but both parties are saying that the other will cause another shut down. The date for them to come to an agreement is comming up but I think they will come to terms and there won't be one. There is still the other side of things and there still could be but in my opinion tere won't be
No, I don't think there will be a government shutdown. Due to its negative effect on both political parties, creating even more distrust in the already distrustful citizens. Most people are already weary of the U.S. government this would make it even worse. The runners of our country can't even do a skill all of us were taught at a young age, comprise? The entire government would be blamed for this easily avoided failure. It think Congress will comprise because of the disastrous consequences if they don't.
I do not believe that their will be another government shutdown. But, we cannot be to naive to think that our country could never fall into another recession. I do not think that there will be another government shutdown because both parties will have to deal with even larger issues. The congress, senate and president will then have to try to make another compromise. Also, with a government shutdown many government employees will be on a leave of absence since their jobs are at stake. A government shutdown all will play an even larger full circle disaster.
The government is already currently "shut down" as everybody says, but it is impossible for the whole trace of government in general to just disappear. Each member a part of congress knows the potentials of government and the power they hold and how crucial it is to keeping the United States whole and running. Therefore, a whole government "shut down" is highly unlikely- although it has potential. Members of congress must come to a consensus. And if somehow they don't, we're in for a whole lot of debt and nation-wide issues.
The government is already currently "shut down" as everybody says, but it is impossible for the whole trace of government in general to just disappear. Each member a part of congress knows the potentials of government and the power they hold and how crucial it is to keeping the United States whole and running. Therefore, a whole government "shut down" is highly unlikely- although it has potential. Members of congress must come to a consensus. And if somehow they don't, we're in for a whole lot of debt and nation-wide issues.
There is a government shutdown like the one in 1995-1996 going on right now. Because of the shutdown, many americans have become furlowed and are not being paid. The shutdown is affecting the economy too because these furlowed workers are not buying as many goods as they were before. The stock market has been affected by the shutdown too. Stock prices are down and continue to decrease with every day that passes under the shutdown. If the shutdown is affecting various areas of the nation in a negative way.
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