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Analysis is a clinical interpretation of items, issues, ideas, or events and an explanation of their impact on the future (i.e. something you think is going to happen).
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Sunday, November 01, 2009
Analysis: What are your predictions for the elections this week in New Jersey and Virginia? What do the outcomes mean?
Although Virginia elected a Democrat for the first time in 45 years for the presidential election, it seems as though they will elect a Republican as governor. The Republican candidate is currently ahead in the polls and Virginians have elected the opposite party from that of which occupies the presidency since 1977.In New jersey, however, the Democratic candidate holds a lead. New Jersey has elected Democratic governors since 1997 and it seems as though this trend will continue. These outcomes will show that no matter what the nationally leading party may be, national and local issues differ, and therefore allow national and local election results to differ as well.
I think that the outcome of these elections will give a hint as to how Americans are feeling after Obama's first year in office. I think that if the Republican candidate wins in Virginia it could mean that Virginia no longer has faith in Obama or the democratic party. Also Obama has been campaigning for these candidates, so if they don't win I think its a pretty good hint that people aren't happy with him.
I disagree with both of you. 1) The GOP will win both elections. Polls can back that up. 2) The elections aren't gonna give that big of indicator of how Americans feel toward Obama. Virginia is a GOP state that got caught up in Obama fanfare. It happened all over the country; they're still gonna elect a GOP governor regardless.
I agree that the New Jersey and Virginia elections will be a representative microcosm of how the rest of the country feels about President Obama after one year in office. While the results may not be directly related, since the northeast is traditionally more Democratic than any other part of the nation, I feel since these two states are close in distance and mentality to Washington DC, their results will epitomize what many voters are feeling. My thoughts are that there won't be as much lean toward the Democratic side as there was in the 2006 elections in most states, but I feel Democrats will still hold the upper hand in these elections. The Republican Party's prospects look meek at this point, with no definite candidate to rally behind--other than good ol' Rushy--for the upcoming Presidential election in 2012. As in football, when the saying goes, "If you have 2 quarterbacks, you really don't have a quarterback at all," if the Republican Party can't find its identity throughout the nation, how can it expect to be victorious in smaller elections such as these in the next week? Democrats will win, by slimmer margins than the recent past...and I'd just like to go on record and say New Jersey is a dump of a state!
5 comments:
Although Virginia elected a
Democrat for the first time in 45 years for the presidential election, it seems as though they will elect a Republican as governor. The Republican candidate is currently ahead in the polls and Virginians have elected the opposite party from that of which occupies the presidency since 1977.In New jersey, however, the Democratic candidate holds a lead. New Jersey has elected Democratic governors since 1997 and it seems as though this trend will continue.
These outcomes will show that no matter what the nationally leading party may be, national and local issues differ, and therefore allow national and local election results to differ as well.
I think that the outcome of these elections will give a hint as to how Americans are feeling after Obama's first year in office. I think that if the Republican candidate wins in Virginia it could mean that Virginia no longer has faith in Obama or the democratic party. Also Obama has been campaigning for these candidates, so if they don't win I think its a pretty good hint that people aren't happy with him.
I disagree with both of you. 1) The GOP will win both elections. Polls can back that up. 2) The elections aren't gonna give that big of indicator of how Americans feel toward Obama. Virginia is a GOP state that got caught up in Obama fanfare. It happened all over the country; they're still gonna elect a GOP governor regardless.
I agree that the New Jersey and Virginia elections will be a representative microcosm of how the rest of the country feels about President Obama after one year in office. While the results may not be directly related, since the northeast is traditionally more Democratic than any other part of the nation, I feel since these two states are close in distance and mentality to Washington DC, their results will epitomize what many voters are feeling. My thoughts are that there won't be as much lean toward the Democratic side as there was in the 2006 elections in most states, but I feel Democrats will still hold the upper hand in these elections. The Republican Party's prospects look meek at this point, with no definite candidate to rally behind--other than good ol' Rushy--for the upcoming Presidential election in 2012. As in football, when the saying goes, "If you have 2 quarterbacks, you really don't have a quarterback at all," if the Republican Party can't find its identity throughout the nation, how can it expect to be victorious in smaller elections such as these in the next week? Democrats will win, by slimmer margins than the recent past...and I'd just like to go on record and say New Jersey is a dump of a state!
Told ya so! Get ready for the GOP turnaround!
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